Florida District 15

FL-15 • 2026 Election
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Primary

Democratic Primary

Held August 18, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Robert People ✓ 22,213 53.6%
Christopher Irizarry 19,196 46.4%

Republican Primary

Held August 18, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Laurel Lee ✓ — —

Full calendar and every race: Florida primary guide

Race Overview

Incumbent
Laurel Lee
Party
Republican
Current Rating
Safe R expert avg
State delegation
7D - 20R · 1 unassigned
Open Seat
No
Cook PVI
R+10

Race Ratings

Cook Political Report

Solid R

Inside Elections

Solid Republican

Candidates

Laurel Lee

Laurel Lee Nominee Incumbent

Republican
Total Raised: $2,684,459
Cash on Hand: $2,153,024

Robert People Nominee

Democrat
Total Raised: $59,151
Cash on Hand: $11,943

Average is the unweighted mean of the last three scientific public polls. Fewer than three uses the polls that exist. The rating uses that average when the newest poll ended in the last 30 days. The table lists the polls in that average, plus the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more. How accurate is each pollster? →

No polls in the last 90 days.

Questions About This Race

Is the 2026 FL-15 House race competitive?

No — the expert consensus rates it Safe R for Republicans.

When is the 2026 FL-15 House race decided?

Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

How is the PollingSource average calculated?

The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of the last three scientific public polls, or fewer when fewer exist. One poll sets the rating when it ended in the last 30 days. We do not exclude pollsters. The table lists recent polls, including ones older than those three. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.

Race News

No news coverage yet for this race.

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