Florida District 5

FL-05 • 2026 Election
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Primary

Democratic Primary

Held August 18, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Rachel Grage ✓ 27,400 65.1%
Alex Hazen 9,110 21.6%
Mark Heggestad 5,607 13.3%

Republican Primary

Held August 18, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
John H. Rutherford ✓ 54,039 67.7%
Mark Kaye 25,784 32.3%

Full calendar and every race: Florida primary guide

Race Overview

Incumbent
John Rutherford
Party
Republican
Current Rating
Safe R expert avg
State delegation
7D - 20R · 1 unassigned
Open Seat
No
Cook PVI
R+15

Race Ratings

Cook Political Report

Solid R

Candidates

John Rutherford Nominee Incumbent

Republican
Total Raised: $895,398
Cash on Hand: $231,771

Rachel Grage Nominee

Democrat
Total Raised: $417,184
Cash on Hand: $90,058

Average is the unweighted mean of the last three scientific public polls. Fewer than three uses the polls that exist. The rating uses that average when the newest poll ended in the last 30 days. The table lists the polls in that average, plus the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more. How accurate is each pollster? →

No polls in the last 90 days.

Questions About This Race

Is the 2026 FL-05 House race competitive?

No — the expert consensus rates it Safe R for Republicans.

When is the 2026 FL-05 House race decided?

Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

How is the PollingSource average calculated?

The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of the last three scientific public polls, or fewer when fewer exist. One poll sets the rating when it ended in the last 30 days. We do not exclude pollsters. The table lists recent polls, including ones older than those three. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.

Race News

No news coverage yet for this race.

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