Florida District 2

FL-02 • 2026 Election
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Primary

Primary election: Tuesday, August 18, 2026

Full calendar and every race: Florida primary guide

Race Overview

Incumbent
Neal Dunn
Party
Republican
Current Rating
Safe R expert avg
Open Seat
No
Cook PVI
R+18

Race Ratings

Consensus Rating

Safe R

Individual forecaster ratings will be updated as they become available.

Candidates

Neal Dunn

Neal Dunn Incumbent

Republican
Total Raised: $804,557
Cash on Hand: $546,193

Amanda Green

Democrat
Total Raised: $310,717
Cash on Hand: $109,445

Brice Barnes

Democrat
Total Raised: $242,298
Cash on Hand: $180,122

Huy-Yen Bailey

Democrat
Total Raised: $166,232
Cash on Hand: $50,951

Nicholas Zateslo

Democrat
Total Raised: $440,861
Cash on Hand: $55,928

Audie Rowell

Republican
Total Raised: $110,583
Cash on Hand: $22,963

Austin Rogers

Republican
Total Raised: $960,700
Cash on Hand: $592,245

Evan Power

Republican
Total Raised: $620,689
Cash on Hand: $372,392

Jim Norton

Republican
Total Raised: $393,636
Cash on Hand: $89,320
Keith Gross

Keith Gross

Republican
Total Raised: $10,654,949
Cash on Hand: $4,014,433

Lee Jones

Republican
Total Raised: $9,800
Cash on Hand: $-16,380

Luke Murphy

Republican
Total Raised: $222,863
Cash on Hand: $158,273

Nicholas Lewis

Republican
Total Raised: $95,001
Cash on Hand: $1,970

Average reflects all polls from the last 90 days; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more. How accurate is each pollster? →

No polls in the last 90 days.

Questions About This Race

Is the 2026 FL-02 House race competitive?

No — the expert consensus rates it Safe R for Republicans.

When is the 2026 FL-02 House race decided?

Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

How is the PollingSource average calculated?

The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of every scientific public poll of the race from the last 90 days — we do not exclude pollsters. Each race page lists the individual polls behind the average with pollster, field dates, sample size, and margin of error. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.

Race News

No news coverage yet for this race.