Florida District 2

FL-02 • 2026 Election
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Primary

Democratic Primary

Held August 18, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Amanda Marie Green ✓ 21,415 33.5%
Yen Bailey 17,898 28.0%
Brice Barnes 17,253 27.0%
Nicholas Zateslo 7,417 11.6%

Republican Primary

Held August 18, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Austin Rogers ✓ 26,701 30.5%
Keith Gross 14,366 16.4%
Evan Power 13,831 15.8%
Luke Murphy 13,456 15.4%
Jim Norton 11,408 13.0%
Audie Rowell 4,767 5.4%
Lee Jones 1,820 2.1%
Nick Lewis 1,298 1.5%

Full calendar and every race: Florida primary guide

Race Overview

Incumbent
OPEN (Neal Dunn)
Party
Republican
Current Rating
Safe R expert avg
State delegation
7D - 20R · 1 unassigned
Open Seat
Yes
Cook PVI
R+18

Race Ratings

Cook Political Report

Solid R

Inside Elections

Solid Republican

Candidates

Amanda Marie Green Nominee

Democrat
Total Raised: $608,896
Cash on Hand: $70,665
Austin Rogers

Austin Rogers Nominee

Republican
Total Raised: $1,301,032
Cash on Hand: $340,468

Average is the unweighted mean of the last three scientific public polls. Fewer than three uses the polls that exist. The rating uses that average when the newest poll ended in the last 30 days. The table lists the polls in that average, plus the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more. How accurate is each pollster? →

No polls in the last 90 days.

Questions About This Race

Is the 2026 FL-02 House race competitive?

No — the expert consensus rates it Safe R for Republicans.

When is the 2026 FL-02 House race decided?

Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

How is the PollingSource average calculated?

The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of the last three scientific public polls, or fewer when fewer exist. One poll sets the rating when it ended in the last 30 days. We do not exclude pollsters. The table lists recent polls, including ones older than those three. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.

Race News

No news coverage yet for this race.

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