Delaware At-Large District

DE-AL • 2026 Election
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Primary

Democratic Primary

Held September 15, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Sarah McBride ✓ — —

Republican Primary

Held September 15, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Joseph "Dr. Joe" Arminio ✓ 18,629 47.9%
John J. Whalen 12,523 32.2%
Earl L. Cooper 7,772 20.0%

Full calendar and every race: Delaware primary guide

Race Overview

Incumbent
Sarah McBride
Party
Democrat
Current Rating
Safe D expert avg
State delegation
1D - 0R
Open Seat
No
Cook PVI
D+8

Race Ratings

Toss-up = under 3 pts · Lean = 3–6 · Likely = 6–10 · Safe = 10+ (our poll average). "D+12.6" = Democrat ahead by 12.6 points. Tilt = a slight edge, used for expert averages and some House ratings.

Cook Political Report

Solid D

Inside Elections

Solid Democrat

Candidates

Sarah McBride Nominee Incumbent

Democrat
Total Raised: $5,556,755
Cash on Hand: $2,326,039

Joseph Joe Arminio Nominee

Republican
Total Raised: $12,302
Cash on Hand: $6,944

LV = likely voters · RV = registered voters · ± = margin of error · R-sponsored / D-sponsored / I-sponsored = paid for by a Republican, Democratic, or Independent group · "missed 2024 by X pts" = that firm's average miss in 2024

Average is the unweighted mean of the last three scientific public polls. Fewer than three uses the polls that exist. The rating uses that average when the newest poll ended in the last 30 days. The table lists the polls in that average, plus the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more. How accurate is each pollster? →

No polls in the last 90 days.

Questions About This Race

Is the 2026 DE-AL House race competitive?

No — the expert consensus rates it Safe D for Democrats.

When is the 2026 DE-AL House race decided?

Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

How is the PollingSource average calculated?

The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of the last three scientific public polls, or fewer when fewer exist. One poll sets the rating when it ended in the last 30 days. We do not exclude pollsters. The table lists recent polls, including ones older than those three. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.

Race Notes

First openly transgender member of Congress; replaced LBR who won Senate

Race News

No news coverage yet for this race.

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