Wyoming Governor Race

2026 Election • Open Seat (Term Limited)
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Primary

Democratic Primary

Held August 18, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Kenneth R. Casner ✓ — —

Republican Primary

Held August 18, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Eric Barlow ✓ 58,820 45.1%
Megan Degenfelder 38,739 29.7%
Brent Bien 30,843 23.6%
Curt Blake 2,161 1.7%

Full calendar and every race: Wyoming primary guide

Race Overview

Incumbent
OPEN (Mark Gordon)
Party
Republican
Open Seat
Yes
Current Rating
Safe R expert avg
Term Limited
Yes

Race Ratings

Toss-up = under 3 pts · Lean = 3–6 · Likely = 6–10 · Safe = 10+ (our poll average). "D+12.6" = Democrat ahead by 12.6 points. Tilt = a slight edge, used for expert averages and some House ratings.

Cook Political Report

Solid R

Inside Elections

Solid Republican

Candidates

Ken Casner Nominee

Democrat

Eric Barlow Nominee

Republican

LV = likely voters · RV = registered voters · ± = margin of error · R-sponsored / D-sponsored / I-sponsored = paid for by a Republican, Democratic, or Independent group · "missed 2024 by X pts" = that firm's average miss in 2024

Average is the unweighted mean of the last three scientific public polls. Fewer than three uses the polls that exist. The rating uses that average when the newest poll ended in the last 30 days. The table lists the polls in that average, plus the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more. How accurate is each pollster? →

No polls in the last 90 days.

Questions About This Race

Is the 2026 Wyoming governor's race competitive?

No — the expert consensus rates it Safe R for Republicans.

When is the 2026 Wyoming governor's race decided?

Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

How is the PollingSource average calculated?

The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of the last three scientific public polls, or fewer when fewer exist. One poll sets the rating when it ended in the last 30 days. We do not exclude pollsters. The table lists recent polls, including ones older than those three. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.

Race Notes

Term-limited, open seat

Race News

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