Polling

Talarico leads Paxton by 3 points in Texas Senate race post-runoff poll

Source: The Hill May 29, 2026 at 6:49 PM (16 hours ago) Texas Senate Race

Democratic state Rep. James Talarico holds a 3-point lead over Republican Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton in a new Texas Senate race poll, with 47% support compared to Paxton's 44%. The poll from Texas Public Opinion Research surveyed likely general election voters in the state.

Key Points

  • Talarico maintains a narrow 3-point advantage over Paxton in head-to-head matchup
  • Poll reflects likely general election voters, suggesting competitive race in November
  • Texas Senate race emerging as potential competitive contest in traditionally Republican state